Stock Market Analysis: 08/14/17

  • The trendy boutique market now and the stock market in early 1990s are totally different entities - electronic trading systems have changed the look of this land a lot. The stock market in early 70s and in 90s are different entities as well - the money of big financial institutions have changed the landscape of the stock market land significantly. The idea is that if the market capitalization is too low then stock liquidity is likely a problem, even if the dollar-volume is high. Staying with the entry and exit strategy is a good idea to stay and stick. To make sure that there is the demand and guarantee with a certain number of customers for a bulk order as you can well consider the pre-selling or crowdfunding your idea for a book. It depends on a number of things: Your time frame, target date, comfort level and tolerance for risk.


    See the minute chart above, can you spot where the sellers were at the point of time of mad buying? Why? Once consumer and producers fall into a pattern, they tend to rely on it, almost to the point of becoming dependent on it. Why Seasonals Work: The seasonal approach to markets is designed to anticipate future price movement rather than constantly react to an endless stream of often contradictory news. This recurring phenomenon is intrinsic to the seasonal approach in trading, for it is designed to anticipate, enter, and capture recurrent trends as they emerge and exit as they are realized. However this wasn't attainable approach back once electronic commerce wasn't introduced. Furthermore, the US commerce secretary had indicated that there would not be any US-China trade deal as the 2 countries were miles apart. Seasonality is a seasonal fluctuation or cycle forming a progression or trend. Natural Market Rhythms: These annual cycles in supply and demand give rise to seasonal price phenomena - to greater or lesser degree and in more or less timely manner.


    Such factors as weather, fiscal calendars, crop cycles, and specific characteristics of futures contracts themselves (such as delivery and expiration) tend to recur and influence, to one degree or another, certain markets every year. The nature of these patterns themselves may then be further examined for such things as specific time periods critical to a breakout or trend definition. Nearly all markets are affected by various fundamental forces, many of which are seasonal in nature. It can become so ingrained as to become nearly a fundamental condition in its own right --- almost as if the market had a memory of its own. Right now, I'd only be a buyer of FAS below $19 if we see a retest of the lows. Daily Finan. Bull 3X Shs(ETF)(FAS) - FAS failed at $30 on Tuesday. Computers, however, can now derive a daily seasonal pattern of price behavior from a composite of daily price activity over several years. Hi, my name is Sam and I have been writing about stocks for 3 years now.


    The goal of Bull/Bear patterns are to provide potential insight into when bull years may be strongest and bear years may be weakest, Additionally, potential periods where bull years are weak, or bear years are strong may also come to light. Macro-economic forces ensure bull and bear trends, which may offer the greatest trading opportunities but which exhibit behavior diametrically opposed one to the other. Therefore, dissecting seasonal behavior into two even more distinct patterns, one bullish and one bearish, provides yet another perspective from which to discover emerging trends and to understand what behavior to anticipate - and when. Properly constructed, such a pattern provides historical perspective on the market's annual price cycle. The first step, of course, is to find a market's seasonal price pattern. In a market strongly influenced by annual cycles, seasonal price movement may become more than just an effect of seasonal cause. An annual pattern of changing conditions, then, may cause a more or less well-defined annual pattern of price responses. Basic Pattern Dynamics: Consider the following seasonal pattern that evolved for January Heating Oil.



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